MONARCHY WILL NOT RETURN IN GERMANY

"Monarchy will not return in Germany unless there is a revival of the Allied policy in using force upon her, which I do not believe likely." Such is the opinion of G. F. Jentsch, who is an instructor in German and who knows German political conditions, having taken most of his education there.

Mr. Jentsch made the statement in reply to a question put by a CRIMSON reporter concerning the wish of the German Nationalist Party to restore a monarchical government there according to recent press dispatches.

"The real issue, which I think most commentators in this country have overlooked." Mr. Jentsch continued, "is not the political one of monarchy versus republic, but the economic one of capitalistic tendencies versus socialist tendencies. The present conservative government came into power in spite of the fact that fewer monorchist deputies were elected to the new Relchstag than sat in the last one.

A Combination Cabinet

"The new Cabinet was constructed only with the help of the Clericals and Demoercrats, who hold the balance of power and are committed by their party platforms to the republic. Chancellor Luthe, who, while conservative, belongs to no one party was elected on a straight business platform and deciated unequivocally in his first speeds that he would uphold the constitution.

"The present alignment of the Reichstag consists of two general divisions. On the one side are those who upholding the present economic order, both monarchists and republicans, and on the other those who stand for socialism in one form or another. It is true that the monarchy issue was one of the more important campaign slogans, but I understand that in other countries, too, incidental issues are dragged to the front in order to screen the real issues.

Causes For Shift to Conservative Bloc

"You may ask, if the monarchy issue plays only an unimportant part today. why did the two middle parties, the Clericals and the Democrats shift their support from the liberal bloc to the conservative 'Bourgeois' bloc? There are two reasons.

"In the first place, after the mere external existence of the Commonwealth had been assured through the downfall of Poincare's occupation policy, two internal issues have come to the front, taxation and tariff. The Socialists stand for direct taxation, that is, they believe the producers, rather than the consumers should bear the heavier burden. The Clericals and Democrats, who sided with the socialists while foreign questions were dominant, have naturally, though unfortunately, deserted them and sided with the parties of the right, who, like them, are composed chiefly of traders, industrialists and small capitalists.

Foreign Policy Aids Liberals

"Secondly, the liberal bloc had based its case largely on the fact that their conciliatory foreign policy had resulted in a change of international atmosphere in Europe. They said that there was now no more peremptory dictation to Germany, but negotiation among equals, as shown during the London negotiations last summer. This argument has been rudely shattered since the defeat of Labor, the return to power of the Conservatives in England, and the consolidation of the conservative opponents to Herriot in France.

"The refusal to evacuate Cologne contained all the typical elements of what is known in Germany as the agonizing 'After-War', and in France as 'Poncareism': that is first a skillful and violent press propaganda, with no more than the proverbial grain of truth, depicting a Germany armed to the teeth, with the most outrageous allegations just vague enough to make a checkling up impossible; then, with public opinion sufficiently indignant the stronger party constitutes itself judge and pronounces judgment, and finally in an arrogant note, refuses to divulge to the other party the evidence on which judgment is based.

"The sentiment which this international tactlessness created in Germany was the last straw that broke the Centrist's back! It is a mistake, however, to think that the present government is anti-French. It is controlled by business, and big business favors an economic alliance between French iron producers and German coal producers. The Socialists also favor friendship with France and other countries, on sentimental and internationalist lines, however, rather than on economic ones.

"I believe that the clouds now hovering over the European situation will blow over. The real interests of Europe entail close cooperation between France and Germany